23.17 Judgment
It all basically comes down to judgment, seeing what makes sense and what smells fishy. You have to judge things based on evaluating many factors rather using a single black and white rule.
Think of something that you were told which you have been uncertain of. Make two lists, one of things which seem to indicate that it was true and another of things which seem to indicate that it was false. Work over and keep adding to the lists without prejudice until you feel that you have all the relevant factors on each side of the fence. Do this without trying to decide on the truth or falsehood while you are putting things on the list. Then look these lists over and evaluate which side has the strongest indication.
If you have gotten a lot of factors and the indications are overwhelming on one side or the others, then you’ve got it.
If, however, the two sides balance, then there are a number of possibilities. One possibility is that you don’t have enough data and it may have to remain unresolved. But there are three other things to check before you put the whole matter aside for further investigation.
The two sides may be in balance because someone has been feeding you a great deal of false data on one side or the other. In other words, one side or the other may be false. So check each side over again with an eye towards possible trickery.
You might also be holding the two sides in balance. If, for example, you have a strong desire for the answer to come out a certain way, you might be twisting things out of shape. So check if you have a prejudice in the matter and re-examine the list to see if you put some biased things on it.
But one of the common reasons for this happening is that you have mixed apples and oranges together and the list is serving to sort them out. You may have two disrelated things mixed together. Examine the two lists and see if there is a common delineation which caused them to sort out that way. Then reexamine your original question and see if you can’t divide it into two separate factors and run two separate evaluations. Then try and analyze how these two things really relate to each other and how they became enmeshed together. You may want one without the other and maybe there is some way to do that.
Do this exercise with a number of different things, both personal and social. See if you can penetrate at least one illusion or trickery.
Don’t go off half cocked on insufficient data. Remember that false accusations are the bane of our existence.
But maybe you can proof yourself up against being mislead and manipulated.